Re: Tales of Desolation mafia Day 2
Posted: Mon Jan 27, 2025 4:28 am
Like how is that your only comment about it after all frog had posted / sabrar replies there
Press F for the old forum.
https://ramenchef.nfshost.com/nxf/
Hmmm I like this. Im not fully there on liking the list that much ( a bit peeved of it having somi-bubblez separated and like no mention of Laser-me) but overall agree with feeling natural and it not having nothing that looks bad. It gets a passing grade in my book, but seeing you like it this way kinda makes me like it more if it makes sense lolboomfrog wrote: ↑Sun Jan 26, 2025 2:49 pm Heury's reads -This is a really good reads list. Like, A) it's shows a very townie perspective sincerely trying to solve, especially the Makhaira read. But B) this skill in reading shown here is a huge improvement over the Heury I know from years ago. You've really grown man, I'm impressed.Spoiler (Show/Hide)
heuristically_alone wrote: ↑Sun Jan 26, 2025 8:49 am Ahippo – has been very transparent about lack of strong reads and confusion. Also they don’t feel defensive when being questioned or accused which I feel is more natural for town. That coupled with the early role claim and transparency of how it would be used (random number generator). I am concerned with the lack of scum hunting. UPDATE: Since Sabrar confirmed receiving motivator action then I’m assuming at this point ahippo is cleared town (much more likely) or sabrar and ahippo are scum mates (much less likely). If Sabrar flips scum, ahippo is still likely town
EGW- Scum hunting and taking care to dissect others posts and follow up with plenty of questions. They are open to discussions and willing to adapt their reads. Flipping Mak their scummiest read D1 is evidence evolving suspicions and in general his reads all seem to be uninfluenced by other players. EGW was also quite cocky about his understanding of competing wagons and how helped get competing wagons and reads based off of it. Town. If EGW is scum, could be a less active scum partner not pushing against him such as Laserguy/Somitomi
JC - Will share in near future. Town lean
Makhaira – There was something in D1 that Mak said that had me learning town, but now I can’t find nor do I remember what it was. I feel like it was something along the lines of I recall Mak having a manipulative nature and this game seems considerably less manipulative. They have been structuring their reads in a way that gives the necessary content but isn’t ordered perhaps purposefully to make it more difficult for scum to understand the reads. I am slightly concerned that Mak is so widely town read but most everybody and maybe only EGW is seeing through a charade but lean town., Potential scum partner is Boomfrog. There was an interaction where Mak seemed back and forth and could be a strategic effort to manage a scum partner’s slot without making it obvious.
Madge – If not a secret mod, then based off of lack or reads and only small bits of efforts here and there, this is typical madge behavior D1 and I do believe Madge always tries a bit harder as scum. Due to indifference to the game at this point, lean town.
Wam - Null working on read
Somitomi Null working on read
Bop – During D1 was the most active scum hunter. They were adamant on the importance of Day 1 content and showed some frustration towards players with limited D1 content which shows consist with their playstyle. Bop’s been consistently engaging and re-processing their reads. I particularly like 2 full reads lists D1 adapting to updated conclusions. Town lean. I think most likely scum partner is tehbubblez. There was a couple interactions between them that flagged for me during the time I was tunneling more on tehbubblez and Bop’s second read list dropped tehbubblez down to one of scummiest players at the point when is seem sure that tehbubblez would be the first elim.
TehBubblez - Same opinion at end of D1, except only slight scum lean now. If they are scum don't feel like they deserve to get away with that playstlye, so am rather hopefuly they are frustrated town.
Boomfrog- D1 Boomfrog almost felt too eager to make pushes. This read may be based off of my poor memory of Boomfrog’s gameplay, but he seemed too quick to lead town. D2 my concern is if he’s scum that he is misleading us right to scum’s hands if it helps scum to know our flavor alignments. This may be something that we can resolve as true or fact later in the game, so I’m fine with holding on the D2 yeet, but leaning scum, but not leaning as far as I was end of D1. No one seems to fit in as a scum partner but I don’t believe Boomfrog can be an indy, so maybe that should be taken into consideration as well as a point in their favor.
Sabrar - Currently assuming full scum due to potential scum slip.
With the Fake Claim conflict dismissed what's your updated read on Sabrar (and are there any other secondary updates to others?)
Why do you not find my point to Santy about theBubblez persuasive?
I like to push people D1 to see where others are wiling to follow, and I like to move around so I can get a feel for any connections or resistance on as many players as I can, with the balance of trying to make my pushes significant enough to be taken seriously. I do this every game that I'm not pulling some bizarre D1 stunt. (I do miss pulling D1 stunts though). Why do you find this pattern scummy? (Your D2 concern is valid, I respect the paranoia)
Persuaded as inboomfrog wrote: ↑Sun Jan 26, 2025 8:34 pmI pointed out the Santy why I think theBubblez is lock-town. I assume anyone else reading every post would also consider the evidence. Did you not find my point persuasive?
Also that reminds me:
@Santy Your response to my point was very noncommittal. Were you persuaded? Also, please claim your associations. (And I guess answer whatever EGW's question was too please.)
I do think on this whole ordeal you kinda just obvtowned just based on belief and motivation to get to Sabrar alone tbh .
I legitimately hate this response.
Boomfrog proposed it like it was a 'very useful strategy'. I explain here why I don't think it can be the case, and therefore Boomfrog focusing on it to that degree is not helpful.Santygrass wrote: ↑Mon Jan 27, 2025 4:22 amI feel like Im missing something here? What was in specific about the way it was proposed that you are against Sabrar?
Am I sure? Of course not. Do I think he is? Yes, though to a lesser degree than at the start of the day. What Boomfrog said about PoE is also true for me, I do not have strong suspicions on others, because there are a multitude of individual townie-pings.
Thanks. That means a lot coming from you. I however will not let you pocket me if you're scumboomfrog wrote: ↑Sun Jan 26, 2025 2:49 pm Heury's reads -This is a really good reads list. Like, A) it's shows a very townie perspective sincerely trying to solve, especially the Makhaira read. But B) this skill in reading shown here is a huge improvement over the Heury I know from years ago. You've really grown man, I'm impressed.Spoiler (Show/Hide)
heuristically_alone wrote: ↑Sun Jan 26, 2025 8:49 am Ahippo – has been very transparent about lack of strong reads and confusion. Also they don’t feel defensive when being questioned or accused which I feel is more natural for town. That coupled with the early role claim and transparency of how it would be used (random number generator). I am concerned with the lack of scum hunting. UPDATE: Since Sabrar confirmed receiving motivator action then I’m assuming at this point ahippo is cleared town (much more likely) or sabrar and ahippo are scum mates (much less likely). If Sabrar flips scum, ahippo is still likely town
EGW- Scum hunting and taking care to dissect others posts and follow up with plenty of questions. They are open to discussions and willing to adapt their reads. Flipping Mak their scummiest read D1 is evidence evolving suspicions and in general his reads all seem to be uninfluenced by other players. EGW was also quite cocky about his understanding of competing wagons and how helped get competing wagons and reads based off of it. Town. If EGW is scum, could be a less active scum partner not pushing against him such as Laserguy/Somitomi
JC - Will share in near future. Town lean
Makhaira – There was something in D1 that Mak said that had me learning town, but now I can’t find nor do I remember what it was. I feel like it was something along the lines of I recall Mak having a manipulative nature and this game seems considerably less manipulative. They have been structuring their reads in a way that gives the necessary content but isn’t ordered perhaps purposefully to make it more difficult for scum to understand the reads. I am slightly concerned that Mak is so widely town read but most everybody and maybe only EGW is seeing through a charade but lean town., Potential scum partner is Boomfrog. There was an interaction where Mak seemed back and forth and could be a strategic effort to manage a scum partner’s slot without making it obvious.
Madge – If not a secret mod, then based off of lack or reads and only small bits of efforts here and there, this is typical madge behavior D1 and I do believe Madge always tries a bit harder as scum. Due to indifference to the game at this point, lean town.
Wam - Null working on read
Somitomi Null working on read
Bop – During D1 was the most active scum hunter. They were adamant on the importance of Day 1 content and showed some frustration towards players with limited D1 content which shows consist with their playstyle. Bop’s been consistently engaging and re-processing their reads. I particularly like 2 full reads lists D1 adapting to updated conclusions. Town lean. I think most likely scum partner is tehbubblez. There was a couple interactions between them that flagged for me during the time I was tunneling more on tehbubblez and Bop’s second read list dropped tehbubblez down to one of scummiest players at the point when is seem sure that tehbubblez would be the first elim.
TehBubblez - Same opinion at end of D1, except only slight scum lean now. If they are scum don't feel like they deserve to get away with that playstlye, so am rather hopefuly they are frustrated town.
Boomfrog- D1 Boomfrog almost felt too eager to make pushes. This read may be based off of my poor memory of Boomfrog’s gameplay, but he seemed too quick to lead town. D2 my concern is if he’s scum that he is misleading us right to scum’s hands if it helps scum to know our flavor alignments. This may be something that we can resolve as true or fact later in the game, so I’m fine with holding on the D2 yeet, but leaning scum, but not leaning as far as I was end of D1. No one seems to fit in as a scum partner but I don’t believe Boomfrog can be an indy, so maybe that should be taken into consideration as well as a point in their favor.
Sabrar - Currently assuming full scum due to potential scum slip.
With the Fake Claim conflict dismissed what's your updated read on Sabrar (and are there any other secondary updates to others?)
Why do you not find my point to Santy about theBubblez persuasive?
I like to push people D1 to see where others are wiling to follow, and I like to move around so I can get a feel for any connections or resistance on as many players as I can, with the balance of trying to make my pushes significant enough to be taken seriously. I do this every game that I'm not pulling some bizarre D1 stunt. (I do miss pulling D1 stunts though). Why do you find this pattern scummy? (Your D2 concern is valid, I respect the paranoia)
Note this post: EGW vote on Boom. I've felt this was odd, but at the time, Heury has been a strong hater for Boomfrog. However, he didn't join me when I voted him. Yet, then he posts this:
Seeing that felt so weird to me, but it didn't click to me until you asked Heury about JC being his scumread. Did you note why he didn't respond to you?heuristically_alone wrote: ↑Mon Jan 20, 2025 5:28 am I love you. I hope we get to chat and hang out outside the game. Anyone want to pounce on BoomFrog with me?
This was his reasoning to stay off Boom and to push Bubbles/Somi.heuristically_alone wrote: ↑Mon Jan 20, 2025 12:53 amMy memory is not the best but I think it was Boomfrog that once said he doesn't vote scum partners on D1. If Bubbles flips scum, Boom wouldn't be by top consideration for D2EGW wrote: ↑Sun Jan 19, 2025 10:57 pmYou handsome man you, join me. Also, how do you feel about Boom voting Bubbles?heuristically_alone wrote: ↑Sun Jan 19, 2025 10:12 pmWhen are you going to start talking about who you're fine with dying today rather than repeating other players' thoughts?
This post was made when there wouldn't have been time to garner enough support for a Boom elim.heuristically_alone wrote: ↑Mon Jan 20, 2025 5:28 am I love you. I hope we get to chat and hang out outside the game. Anyone want to pounce on BoomFrog with me?
He has, as scum. Not technically a chart, but he tried a point system as scum and try harded. Sabrar, what do you think of this?
This is a very good observation.JC_DADDY25 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 24, 2025 4:56 amI still feel Heury may be our indy, if not he's scum. He's doing really well at trying to appear town, I'll give him that.
This is Heury's response. Props to him admitting it, however history shows he's done this as mafia.heuristically_alone wrote: ↑Fri Jan 24, 2025 7:52 am I thought only Moody was stumped. I am fully aware that I am mis-yeeted D1 or D2 more often than not, so I have been putting in a purposeful effort to sound town, so that's likely what your noticing. I can't say you're that bad at the game for noticing that detail I do agree with your reads list for the most part, but disagree with your scum read of Sabrar and I think you should take a closer look at Wam.
I don't put much weight into it. On the old xkcd forums I've once produced (as town) the exact same chart as heury did here. I've tried to use it to look for connections between players, I was unable to draw good conclusions. I've never done it since in this form again.
I saw it, never felt that was convincing, even though I already am there due to frustration and ragequit. Looking at it again, I don't see it lining up with his reads list, but I feel it's just more of him being genuinely frustrated, which I read as town. I just wanted to see you explain why you felt it was convincing.
Probably not, but I have only skimmed them. I reread heury yesterday as you asked and came to a strong conclusion. I'm sorry to say that I don't usually see your convictions as groundbreaking new evidence for which I would need to reevaluate.