Page 30 of 89

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 2)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 6:26 am
by madge
I'm mak's proxy get your own ideas (kidding. more people sheeping conftown!mak better. tbh i'm inclined to just agree to majority vote whoever mak chooses today)

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 2)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 10:24 am
by Wam
Back and catching up.
heuristically_alone wrote: Mon Sep 09, 2024 2:15 am What I admire about wam is how much of a sponge he seems to be. Never feels quite like he's keeping up with the game, then bam latches on to what feels off, has follow up questions, and maybe slow to pull the trigger but a solid scum hunter. Wam is following town meta I expect from him this game and has valid reasons behind his scum reads.
Your making me blush!

Updated reads list, not in order within the groups.

Town

Seven - more I read more gut says this is town seven but I can't put my finger on.
Egw- think this is town v town in their interactions with seven.
Bessie - think scum bessie would have pushed her reads on me further.
Somi - think this aligns with somis meta

Neutral
Thea - something feels off but not sure if it's town Thea waiting for clues or scum Thea letting town eat themselves.
Fred - think scum fred would have thrown a reads list out there rather than waiting to do it properly.
Moody '- i have not got strong views either way on moody which normally means town Moody.

Scum
Madge - didn't like this post came across too defensive
https://ramenchef.net/nxf/viewtopic.php?p=74192#p74192
Jc dont like this post https://ramenchef.net/nxf/viewtopic.php ... 74221feels badwagonny
Huery - I'm really torn on this read. Content today much better but is it scum trying to save themselves or town getting into the game.

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 2)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 3:20 pm
by JC_DADDY25
Is that a link to Moody's post?

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 2)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 3:30 pm
by Wam

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 1)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 4:09 pm
by Freddino18
Seven wrote: Tue Sep 03, 2024 7:11 amThe town slips from Fred are also probably real.
btw, what's a town slip, and what did I slip up to that point?

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 1)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 4:31 pm
by Theallieza
Freddino18 wrote: Mon Sep 09, 2024 4:09 pm
Seven wrote: Tue Sep 03, 2024 7:11 amThe town slips from Fred are also probably real.
btw, what's a town slip, and what did I slip up to that point?
Town slip is when a player says something that unintentionally reveals that they are Town... something related to their role, or lack of some specific knowledge of the setup that mafia would likely have, for example.

A scum slip is the opposite, where a player reveals information that shows they are mafia--extra information that they have that town is not party to, or some information that they said in scumchat but thought was in the actual game thread, for example.

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 1)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 5:04 pm
by Freddino18
Freddino18 wrote: Wed Sep 04, 2024 2:16 pm(I really don't know why on bessie, you asked for gut and this is what is happening)
Btw found out why, literally one sentence in all of bessie's posts that stuck in my mind for some reason. So far Bessie's on the top of my town list due to amount of content and lack of scum activity.

Also, I see the notification from Thea, I will not read it until I get to that page.

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 1)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 5:31 pm
by Freddino18
JC_DADDY25 wrote: Thu Sep 05, 2024 2:29 am Right now I'm getting scum vibes from Seven, because of the reason he gave for voting against the extension. I feel he would've voted for the extension if he was town.

I feel Gluelock and Fred may be connected. There was just something odd about the way he asked for the mod to prod Glue even though I and Huery hadn't posted either. Like i mentioned before, felt like it was intentional to distance himself and gave me scum vibes.

Right now, I'm getting town vibes from Bessie, EGW, and Mak.
How does your opinion on me and Seven change after Glue's flip?

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 2)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 6:39 pm
by EGW
Somi, I'm curious on your reads today.

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 2)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 7:10 pm
by Theallieza
I think it's probably best that I don't bury the lede here. My case is probably going to be long so I'd rather give you the headline first and fill in the details as we go. So, here it is:

The scumteam is exactly EGW, Seven, and Somitomi.
I am reasonably confident in everyone else being Town.

If we get to LYLO and none of these three have flipped yet, I implore that whomever is look back at this and make sure we secure at least one elimination in this group.


somitomi:

As I said in my deep dive of somi's meta, he's a difficult player to evaluate and is generally very good about not giving much away about his alignment or partners. Aside from one particular post, most of what makes me think somi is part of this team is how his partners have been having around him.

For somi himself. I think this post was actually a slip. Reading the start of day, somi said that Seven and EGW were scumreading each other, when in fact only Seven was scumreading EGW and EGW had a town ping from Seven. These posts are close together and unambiguous. This was an odd error but I initially didn't read any significance into it except to note that the vibe of the post was off. There's an odd response from somi back to me about it being a throwaway line (about 2/3 of the way down this post, also here). He tries to soften it to that they were debating each other in the second post, which is an interesting reframing. Scumreading is a very specific word in mafia and I strongly doubt that he did not mean it when he said it. I imagine there was some strategy discussion in scumchat about how Seven/EGW would handle each other, and somi was paying attention to THAT, and not what was actually said in thread. Mak continued to push and somi's response feels pretty floundering.

I'm noting how much EGW goes to bat for somi over the next sequence. Starting here, EGW starts focusing on trying to deflect interest away from the error. His read on somi is fairly vacuous but gives him a solid Town. EGW seems certain that somi's error is not alignment indicative, but never explains why, nor gives any plausible explanation for how it could have occurred in a natural townie way, and we have a back and forth here (and elsewhere) where he tries to talk me out of the error being relevant, despite me actually never having claimed that I thought it was. Interestingly, both Mak and I, the only people who really discussed this issue at all, ended up at the bottom of EGW's reads here, and in both cases the push on somi cited as the reason and take up the bulk of his discussion. Spotlight here:
Mak - Let's begin with his first non-confirm post. It feels off, excited to go. Feels a tad forced, to prevent a thunder dome to his slot compared to the previous game. Maks next post, seems like trying to talk about my early game post and get others talking about me in a bad light, without a direct thought of his own. His harping on Somi for making a mistake yet giving Wam the benefit of the doubt pings me. His questioning to Seven seems odd to me, not sure where he stands with me but seems like he's asking to put me in a bad light. Overall, doesn't seem to be looking for actual scum intent, and instead just game play error.

Theaaalieza - First thing to note is his focus on Somi's error. Seems like the thing he has advised me to try to avoid. I don't think that should have been his focus for pushing Somi. That just seems unfair. Reading through, I now realize that Thea doesn't seem to have any questioning towards players? Just giving out a read or two, the Seven being the most prominent. With his post towards me, at first I thought maybe it came from a misguided standpoint. However, him saying that my reasoning was forced seems off. I'm not sure how my reasoning can be forced when it wasn't a long exerpt of reasoning. Plus it seems he tacked on the timing to pad his reasoning, when it makes more sense I was waiting for Wam to post content first. (Since I asked the mod to prod Gluelock and Wam, I wanted to see them in thread and see what they do) Then his post asking Seven what he thinks of Wam's town/scum meta, and why the error is alignment indicative. It's odd he's asking this when he's been focusing on Somi's error instead of looking at the rest of their play.
Why? Why is EGW so confident that somi is Town that people questioning him are likely mafia? Also, given what I've seen of Makhaira's content, I think this comments about him not scumhunting well are shockingly disingenuous. Regardless, it doesn't make sense. There's a lot more of this. And then this super weird moment where both EGW and Seven drop votes on somi and EGW claims to have a scumread on him but flips him back to town without explanation. It is also SUPER weird that somi never comments on this and immediately joins EGW to vote on Gluelock. This is such a strange interaction. Somi isn't the least bit curious and this is never referenced again. This last moment feels like it is intentional distancing, possibly in response to me noting a connection between EGW and somi.


EGW:


I feel like I ended up talking a lot about what I wanted to say regarding EGW in my somi read, but I want to highlight a few specific things separate from that that have been bothering me about EGW.

Here are EGW's reads over the course of D1:
Spoiler (Show/Hide)
EGW wrote: Fri Aug 30, 2024 10:06 am So far:

Town: Laserguy, Seven
Scum: Madge.

Vote: Madge
I'm noting that this post on Madge is one of the few reads where EGW actually seems to think about his read and we see him re-evaluate. I don't have a problem with this change, just noting it for completeness.
EGW wrote: Mon Sep 02, 2024 8:28 am Gluelock and Wam are scum. I think people are latching on to the wrong thing to scumread Somi. I'd rather see his reads and his overall play. I'm neutral on Moody.
(Noting again his defense of somi here)
EGW wrote: Tue Sep 03, 2024 1:30 am Town [EGW > Seven > Fred > Somitomi > Bessie > Madge > Moody | Heury, JC Daddy, Gluelock | Wam > Mak > Theallieza] Scum

Unvote; Vote: Theallieza
EGW wrote: Tue Sep 03, 2024 10:53 pm Town [EGW > Seven > Theallieza > Mak > Fred > Bessie > Madge | Heury, JC, Gluelock | Wam > Moody > Somi] Scum
EGW wrote: Thu Sep 05, 2024 1:29 am Town [EGW > Seven > Mak > Freddy > Bessie > Moody > Somitomi | Heury, JC, Wam | Theallieza > Madge > Gluelock] Scum
EGW wrote: Thu Sep 05, 2024 8:42 pm Hello, Seven. It is time to release the read. Mak is scum, not Thea.
EGW wrote: Fri Sep 06, 2024 2:24 am I think these will be the best options for today:

Gluelock, Wam, Madge.
Some of the players swing significantly one way or the other without explanation. As noted above, Somi jumps from Town to full scum and back again without any real explanation for the shifts; I have a similar trajectory. One thing that is particularly surprising about this is that EGW's case on me is paper thin. EGW is typically a very aggressive scumhunter as Town and will usually pursue his scumreads extensively. Here he is very tentative and despite reading me as scum (and others), his pushes are weak and he is surprisingly quick to back down. I don't get the sense that EGW has a lot of conviction in any of his scumreads. I have been on the receiving end of pushes by Town!EGW and this lukewarm approach to his reads is not how he generally plays.

In addition to defending somi, EGW has been very vocal about his uncritical defense of Seven. See here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here. It's like a reflexive response. Any time someone makes a negative comment about Seven, EGW steps in and says he's Town. EGW and Seven have played many times before and I have no doubt that EGW is aware that Seven is a top-tier scum player and locking him Town at this stage in the game is extremely suspect.


Seven:

I want to start by highlighting my commentary here:
Theallieza wrote: Sat Aug 31, 2024 12:31 pm My logic is essentially this:
-Seven claims he can read EGW extremely well.
-Seven knows that Town!EGW is almost impossible to misyeet because he's very strong and it is very obvious when he is Town.

If Seven is scum and EGW is Town, then attacking EGW is unlikely to be productive: EGW is never getting yeeted, and Seven puts a spotlight on himself because Town!EGW is likely to defend himself vigorously. Scum Seven would probably prefer to buddy EGW and redirect his attention elsewhere.

If both are scum together, Seven dislikes bussing and generally avoids attacking his buddies. He'd probably say EGW is Town.

I think Seven most likely attacks EGW if and only if Seven is Town and sincerely believes EGW is scum. The edge case is if Seven is scum and believes EGW is 3rd party.
What is unusual about this game is that Seven makes this read here, very early in the game (contrast here where he knew EGW was a wolf from post 1 and withheld so he could get buddy info) and this is never followed up on. He never really attempts to make a push and switches his read later without a lot of fanfare. Note again the reference to somi in this last post, btw.

Unfortunately, the logic above doesn't hold in this game. Seven didn't actually make a real push against EGW and they ended up closely linked for most of the day phase. And while it is true Seven does not like to bus, I don't think what we have here really qualifies as he did not provide any information that might lead Town to EGW's elimination, nor attempt to put him in a position where he could be voted off. I think Seven's push against EGW here was an attempt to give himself a fig leaf of cover if EGW were to flip later in the game, without actually putting EGW in any danger. Light distancing with no follow through, that allows him to still claim he had read EGW as scum but without having to do any of the heavy lifting of actually trying to make a case against him. Seven gets away with saying EGW is townie before the end of day, and they can happily townlock each other for the rest of the game. Seven is an excellent scum player and in particular is an excellent motivator of his scummates. He knows EGW's weaknesses as scum and I imagine has been giving him additional support in chat to elevate his play.

A few other notes about Seven. One is this, where he interprets Wam's error of having EGW on his reads twice as scum indicative. As I noted at the time, meta on Wam is that he is a very good, careful scum player, and tends to be a lot more loose as Town--this within the realm of errors I would expect from him as Town. Seven even acknowledges that Wam is error-prone as Town later, so it's strange that his initial reaction to drop Wam in the scum pile for this doesn't make a lot of sense to me. I feel similarly about his attempt to undermine my Town read of Madge. He doesn't want to have to put himself in a position to lock her slot as Town. I don't really feel like this is the sort of thing that Seven would ignore as Town, as he and I have a similar approach in looking for townslips and I think he would have found this and locked Madge in.

Makhaira:

I want to end with a brief discussion of Makhaira, because reading through his content with this team in mind, he has been absolute fire this game. Here are the highlights:
Spoiler (Show/Hide)
Makhaira wrote: Sat Aug 31, 2024 3:47 am
EGW wrote: Fri Aug 30, 2024 10:06 am So far:

Town: Laserguy, Seven
Scum: Madge.

Vote: Madge
I dont think I've ever seen EGW make a post like this, wild
Makhaira wrote:
somitomi wrote: Sat Aug 31, 2024 7:07 pm
Makhaira wrote: Sat Aug 31, 2024 3:47 am I dont think I've ever seen EGW make a post like this, wild
What is wild about it?
the fact that I honestly cant ever recall EGW giving such an abridged reads list with so little context so early in the game with this kind of delivery is wild. EGW usually isnt so willing to just give reads without explanation
somitomi wrote: Sat Aug 31, 2024 7:07 pm
Makhaira wrote: Sat Aug 31, 2024 3:47 am is the bolded a joke? tone over internet is hard
Well, I wasn't particularly serious when I typed that, but I'm not sure it'd qualify as a joke.
but they werent scumreading each other, seven scumread EGW and EGW townread seven for it. how did you misunderstand this?
Makhaira wrote: Mon Sep 02, 2024 6:19 am Seven posturing as very confident on the D1 solve and not actually pushing their picks is a bad look here tbh
Makhaira wrote: Mon Sep 02, 2024 6:26 am seven and egw I just frankly need more from to be able to read and thea seems to be trying to solve and communicate legit reads I guess but none of them should be plays at this point for various nebulous reasons
Makhaira wrote: Mon Sep 02, 2024 6:44 pm
somitomi wrote: Mon Sep 02, 2024 6:56 am
Makhaira wrote: Mon Sep 02, 2024 6:16 am but they werent scumreading each other, seven scumread EGW and EGW townread seven for it. how did you misunderstand this?
It was a quick throwaway line about Seven and EGW debating each other already like they usually do, I just chose the wrong word because I wasn't paying too much attention.
Why weren't you paying too much attention? If you're trying to solve shouldn't you be paying attention to the specific reads different slots have on each other? Or do you not care what others think much this early in the game because it doesn't affect you existentially and you already know everyone's alignment and derivatively who's reads are right and wrong already?
Makhaira wrote:
EGW wrote: Mon Sep 02, 2024 8:26 am
Makhaira wrote: Mon Sep 02, 2024 6:19 amwhat role in the scum partnership do you believe seven played in that game? point scum or support scum?

Seven posturing as very confident on the D1 solve and not actually pushing their picks is a bad look here tbh
Scum that helped coach Bessie play a townie game as scum. I can understand the idea behind support scum but not sure what you mean by point scum. They also meant to kill me N1 but I got bodyguarded. (Thanks to JC) I understand Seven the most here most likely. I still think he's town. Him not pushing me at the very least shows that he either didn't truly believe I was scum early game, or if he does somehow (boo) then he'd wait to see how I play to truly develop his read on me. In the other game, he just instantly read me as town. (Yeah EGW you're town I get it, *votes Mak*) So, towntell for Seven for pumping the brakes.
Point scum = the "point man", i.e. the person who is leading the charge and playing the most active scum role. The powerwolf in the context of the game so to speak. Support scum = the mate who takes the back seat and plays around what the point man is doing.

I'd argue that seven was the point scum in that game and their play here is not incongruent. Their read on your slot here may be flipped but this is still seven trying to put their thumb on the scales early with some bravado. scum!seven used the same overconfident approach to get me yeeted that game, they thunderdomed me ffs!
Makhaira wrote:@Seven how does this specific post impact your EGW read?
Makhaira wrote:@Seven again, how does EGW early power grabbing here affect your read of the slot?
Makhaira wrote:why wam over moody if you're so convinced moody is scum? do you believe scum!wam is likely commit such an unforced error as scum this early in the game under relatively low pressure?
Makhaira wrote: Tue Sep 03, 2024 4:33 am
EGW wrote: Tue Sep 03, 2024 1:29 am Mak - Let's begin with his first non-confirm post. It feels off, excited to go. Feels a tad forced, to prevent a thunder dome to his slot compared to the previous game. Maks next post, seems like trying to talk about my early game post and get others talking about me in a bad light, without a direct thought of his own. His harping on Somi for making a mistake yet giving Wam the benefit of the doubt pings me. His questioning to Seven seems odd to me, not sure where he stands with me but seems like he's asking to put me in a bad light. Overall, doesn't seem to be looking for actual scum intent, and instead just game play error.
where are you getting the impression I'm afraid of a thunderdome? I havent been shy at all. I also don't understand why you think I'm "giving wam a pass" but "harping" on somi. Their mistakes are of relatively different character. And definitely am not firming convinced that somi was scum skimming or that wam actually was stream of consciousness drafting his reply as he claims. Im just surprised that you are completely convinced it is scum wavering that he forgot to edit out before posting. Im not actually sure where you're getting that I'm putting you in a bad light at all, I've never advocated for you to be elim'd and I've been interacting with you directly and trying to get an understanding of where seven is coming from on their scumread of you and why you essentially hardcleared seven for that which I found strange
Makhaira wrote: Tue Sep 03, 2024 4:43 am
EGW wrote: Tue Sep 03, 2024 1:47 am Gluelock was already viewing thread and it's been multiple days from both of them without posting. I had more town reads at the time at the top of my head and Gluelock / Wam seemed to be the only suspects for me at the time.

Wam, it's simple. He's been caught faking his reads, which only scum do. No meta required.
I'm confused, if you're so convinced wam is definitively faking reads why are you voting thea? based on your most recent reads are you saying the team is me wam thea if its 3 scum?
Makhaira wrote: Tue Sep 03, 2024 5:40 am EGW if you're town we gotta figure something out here man because idk what I'm doing that scares you so much in these D1s lol
Makhaira wrote: Tue Sep 03, 2024 6:30 am EGW I was asking seven about you soliciting sheep votes because it is out of character in my experience for you in D1 and I wanted a sanity check, it pinged me as similarly odd to you giving that hyper abridged early reads list as just offbeat
Makhaira wrote: Fri Sep 06, 2024 1:53 am
EGW wrote: Thu Sep 05, 2024 8:42 pm Hello, Seven. It is time to release the read. Mak is scum, not Thea.
wait if you think glue is scum how can I be his mate bro has been gunning for me all phase for no reason lmao im genuinely confused how you think this
Makhaira wrote: Fri Sep 06, 2024 2:17 am
EGW wrote: Fri Sep 06, 2024 2:02 am
Makhaira wrote: Fri Sep 06, 2024 1:53 amwait if you think glue is scum how can I be his mate bro has been gunning for me all phase for no reason lmao im genuinely confused how you think this
I'm well aware that he did. I am taking it with a grain of salt. Especially since he only has a few posts referring to you, he isn't gunning for you. I'm also mostly scumreading you both individually.
he isn't gunning for me? bro Im like one of the only slots he's consistently thrown shade it in his very substantive posts. also this is a weird take considering you just did a whole solve based around thea/glue/madge and then said it was actually secretly a mak/glue/madge solve which suggests your are reading us a scum together no?
EGW wrote: Fri Sep 06, 2024 2:03 am
Makhaira wrote: Tue Sep 03, 2024 5:40 amEGW if you're town we gotta figure something out here man because idk what I'm doing that scares you so much in these D1s lol
Also this feels off to me because we didn't really talk extensively.
I was making a point about a meta trend in the last few games where you've been suss of me early in pretty much all of the last few games we played together and I think I was only scum in one of them and it was a multiball game? I feel like my play has been pretty consistent across the board in those games so I'm just like not getting what is setting you off though I think Im starting to see now its an early game effort thing, like you don't think I'm trying to get a full solve D1, which you are correct to read because Im not lol I never try to go for a full game solve, I need more concrete info to actually put real effort into a full solve so I guess I just answered my own question
Makhaira wrote: Fri Sep 06, 2024 2:18 am
EGW wrote: Fri Sep 06, 2024 2:06 am
Makhaira wrote: Fri Sep 06, 2024 1:42 amEGW - no way scum!EGW banks on holding on to a "true" scum read on me hoping to get a powerswap post deadline extension, I'd be genuinely shocked
Can you elaborate on this. Powerswap for what exactly.
you making a late in phase big push for a wagon swap to me. I don't see you thinking you have high EV there as scum and doubt you would risk it, maybe im underestimating your powerwolf capacity tho
Makhaira was fairly consistently pushing against all three of members of the team, and was skeptical of all three at various points. As far as I can see, no one else was really pursuing the same angles that he was. I'm not usually one for night kill analysis, but suffice it to say I think this team had a strong motivation to eliminate Mak.

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 2)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 7:38 pm
by Theallieza
Some brief notes about everyone else:

Wam: As I said in D1, I think that the readlist error is probably Town leaning for wam and is consistent with my impression of him as a fairly solid scum player and a much more freewheeling Town player. Wam has been misyeeted for similar things before. There isn't a lot of content that I find objectionable.

Bessie: This is Town bessie.

heuristically_alone: Probably my weakest Town read. He's basically Town by association that the mafia were all willing to eliminate him and still seem intent on it toDay.

Madge: Townslipped her role in D1. Discussed here and elsewhere.

Freddino18: Townslipped D1. Discussed here.

moody7277: This post felt super townie to me. One thing I like about elimination scrambles is generally people don't have time to process their posts quickly and post whatever is top of mind at the time. Moody's interest in solving Madge here is IMHO townie (and, incidentally, EGW's singleminded push for the elimination without regard to consequence felt extremely scummy).

JC_DADDY25: I don't have a lot of experience with JC and their style of play has always felt very strange to me. FWIW, JC feels extremely disconnected and their thoughts are sufficiently far removed from everyone else that I don't think they are likely to be mafia.

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 2)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 7:46 pm
by Wam
@thea who in that team do you think your most likely to be wrong on?

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 2)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 7:46 pm
by EGW
- We already went over that I thought you were referencing his mistake. I also told you I missed your post clearing that up. It lines up with what I was responding to at the time.
- I'll push my reads extensively if I am confident about them. You do know I flip my reads constantly as town.
- For the conviction part, I literally stated D1 I didn't have scumreads after unvoting Madge, yet you also were in a similar spot to me. This feels like an unfair point to pad your case.
- I have been vocal about Seven being town. People want to push him, and since I know him best, I try to make sure to explain why I'm confident in him being town. That's town play, to defend town reads. I will keep doing it.
- Finally, what you are noticing is a different style of play. When you push me when I'm scum, your usual reasoning is my lack of wim and lack of posting. That hasn't happened here. Yet you are pushing me anyway. Tell me, why do you think I'm still scum when you aren't using your usual reasoning?

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 1)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 7:48 pm
by EGW
Theallieza wrote: Fri Sep 06, 2024 4:00 am Vote Glue

If this is town I swear I will yeet you EGW.
I'm confused why this has not been brought up in your case on me.

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 2)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 8:03 pm
by EGW
On terms of different playstyle, I have never done this before until this game: Game Winning Lazy Reads

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 2)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 8:08 pm
by Theallieza
Wam wrote: Mon Sep 09, 2024 7:46 pm @thea who in that team do you think your most likely to be wrong on?
Seven, I guess. I think somi/EGW are very strongly paired.

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 2)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 8:40 pm
by Theallieza
EGW wrote: Mon Sep 09, 2024 7:46 pm - We already went over that I thought you were referencing his mistake. I also told you I missed your post clearing that up. It lines up with what I was responding to at the time.
The point is not whether you thought I missed the mistake or not, the point is your defense of somi. How did you know that the somi's mistake was not alignment indicative? Why did it follow that Mak/me must be scum for pushing somi about his error?
- For the conviction part, I literally stated D1 I didn't have scumreads after unvoting Madge, yet you also were in a similar spot to me. This feels like an unfair point to pad your case.
You said you were scumreading me in the middle of D1. That read still stands. Likewise, you said you were scumreading Mak. You have had scumreads, just a lack of motivation to pursue them.
- I have been vocal about Seven being town. People want to push him, and since I know him best, I try to make sure to explain why I'm confident in him being town. That's town play, to defend town reads. I will keep doing it.
Why were you defending somi?
- Finally, what you are noticing is a different style of play. When you push me when I'm scum, your usual reasoning is my lack of wim and lack of posting. That hasn't happened here. Yet you are pushing me anyway. Tell me, why do you think I'm still scum when you aren't using your usual reasoning?
I posted a giant essay explaining why I think you are scum and how you fit into the scum team. Did you read it? This seems like an extremely superficial reaction. Your tone is not a central part of my thesis: I referenced the specific actions that you have taken this game that lead me to believe you are mafia. This point I think is also relevant:
Theallieza wrote: Seven is an excellent scum player and in particular is an excellent motivator of his scummates. He knows EGW's weaknesses as scum and I imagine has been giving him additional support in chat to elevate his play.
EGW wrote: Mon Sep 09, 2024 7:48 pm
Theallieza wrote: Fri Sep 06, 2024 4:00 am Vote Glue

If this is town I swear I will yeet you EGW.
I'm confused why this has not been brought up in your case on me.
I mentioned it in passing here:
Theallieza wrote: Mon Sep 09, 2024 7:38 pm moody7277: This post felt super townie to me. One thing I like about elimination scrambles is generally people don't have time to process their posts quickly and post whatever is top of mind at the time. Moody's interest in solving Madge here is IMHO townie (and, incidentally, EGW's singleminded push for the elimination without regard to consequence felt extremely scummy).
But it is not an important part of my case against you. It just made me want to re-evaluate you.

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 2)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 8:50 pm
by EGW
- I was talking about his error confusing Seven v Me being us both scumreading each other. I took that as a null tell, not alignment indicative. Yet it's also odd you weren't clear about that from the beginning.
- My reads clearly changed on you in the day, that you do not state this is disingenuous.
- I wasn't. I was keeping you accountable with your read. I've defended Seven clearly. I was not defending Somi. For example, if I ask you to clarify a stance on someone, it doesn't mean I'm defending them.
- I read the part referencing myself. Just seems odd that you are trying to construct this case on Town me. I mention this because it feels like you are trying to fake a case on me as much as you can.

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 1)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 9:06 pm
by EGW
Theallieza wrote: Mon Sep 09, 2024 8:40 pmmoody7277: This post felt super townie to me. One thing I like about elimination scrambles is generally people don't have time to process their posts quickly and post whatever is top of mind at the time. Moody's interest in solving Madge here is IMHO townie (and, incidentally, EGW's singleminded push for the elimination without regard to consequence felt extremely scummy).
Let's go over that shall we. Do you think it makes sense for scum!me to make such a scramble towards Glue if I don't believe in it? I point this out because it seems odd you'd try to attach scum motivation to my push on Gluelock.
Theallieza wrote: Fri Sep 06, 2024 12:33 am
Seven wrote: Thu Sep 05, 2024 10:03 pm
Theallieza wrote: Thu Sep 05, 2024 9:45 pm That said, I think Glue wagon is high probability going to be bad.
The language here is ambiguous. What do you mean?
I expect a town flip with >1 wolves in the wagon.
It's also suspicious you say this without really making any sort of push Day 1. You seem to have a lack of scumreads yourself yet you try to force reads on me.
Theallieza wrote: Mon Sep 02, 2024 5:26 pm
EGW wrote: Mon Sep 02, 2024 8:28 am Gluelock and Wam are scum. I think people are latching on to the wrong thing to scumread Somi. I'd rather see his reads and his overall play. I'm neutral on Moody.
I am very suspicious of this. I feel like you are going for the most low-hanging fruit. Doesn't feel like a legit attempt at a solve to me.
Theallieza wrote: Mon Sep 02, 2024 6:52 pm
EGW wrote: Mon Sep 02, 2024 6:04 pm I'm not surprised you would think that, pretty sure you have accused me of doing so before in other games. Low hanging fruit does not mean they cannot be scum. Plus think about the reasoning. Does my reason suck? Does it seem fake? Etc.
Yes, your reasoning for both is terrible and feels very forced. I think getting either player off of null is hard to justify at this stage without a very strong meta tell. The timing that you made this push immediately after I started asking for votes for moody is also interesting.
Let's remember this. You say my reasoning sounds forced, when they aren't. They were pretty short lines of reasoning. You saying this, seems forced. You mention that it was very hard to have them as scum reads without meta, yet you don't ever mention this to Seven, instead you ask him. Why are you treating me different here? Then, you tack on the reasoning that I was trying to counter your weak Moody push. Which was wrong, because I was waiting for Wam to post content, and I posted a half hour after him. Yet, it seemed you were eager to use that as reasoning to tack on against me.
Theallieza wrote: Mon Sep 02, 2024 6:50 pm
Seven wrote: Mon Sep 02, 2024 10:13 am
Theallieza wrote: Mon Sep 02, 2024 7:17 am

Phone posting for a bit so can't get to it for a bit. I've added Fred and Madge to town side. I think Mak too.

Feel like I'm being too generous with my townreads but nothing else yet has excited me.
That's OK. I just wanted to see where you placed moody or if you would vote him. It's quite obvious he is dancer to me, and I believed it should be apparent to a human!ali as well.

@Mak, it is not meta based.

I'm not sure how to take Wam's double placement of EGW and Madge, but I do not believe it is something I will be able to get over.

Vote: Wam
Can you tell me what you think about Wam's town/scum meta? Why is this error alignment indicative one way or the other?
This example here shows you asking Seven about his push on Wam instead of stating that you believe he shouldn't be one without meta. Odd.
Theallieza wrote: Thu Sep 05, 2024 5:19 am
Seven wrote: Wed Sep 04, 2024 9:18 pm
Theallieza wrote: Wed Sep 04, 2024 9:15 pm

Unfortunately, yes. I am pretty happy with my townreads but I hate it when I end up with a bunch of low posters as my PoE.
You mean the very thing you called EGW out on in what I quoted above?
I'm not confidently saying I've found the scum team, no. PoE is PoE. If I have 2 scum in my bottom 4 I'll be happy with my sort for toDay.
So this shows you are fine being unfair to my slot when you seemed to be in the same position. I would say that you are trying to force a scumread on me. Also you arrived to a townread on me for trying to sort you, and chose to flip it due to a Gluelock Elim I believed may have flipped scum. Just feels odd that you'd try to use that to re-evaluate me.

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 2)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 9:09 pm
by EGW
Seven wrote: Mon Sep 09, 2024 3:37 amYour WIM is also notably gone. Why is that?
Let's talk about this. Why should I continue to have WIM going into the next day with a failed elim? Why would you discount my WIM from Day 1?

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 2)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 9:16 pm
by Freddino18
Theallieza wrote: Mon Sep 09, 2024 7:10 pmThe scumteam is exactly EGW, Seven, and Somitomi.
Having just got done with the hammer post, I believe you have exactly one person wrong: EGW and Seven were protecting Heury at EOD, to the point where Seven tried to force a no-elim by swapping multiple times with under a minute to go. Full reads list within the next hour and a half (note, list will only be focusing on negative things, with one exception. Anyone not appearing on the list is either dead or has no scum posts from my POV.)

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 2)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 9:29 pm
by Freddino18
EGW wrote: Mon Sep 09, 2024 3:16 am
Freddino18 wrote: Sun Sep 08, 2024 8:53 pm I found a new method, but it exclusively gives scum reads, so anyone not on the list will be town
How's that going?
Better. at this point in the thread

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 2)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 9:34 pm
by Freddino18
Caught up. Making a count. Reads in 10 minutes or less.

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 2)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 9:44 pm
by Theallieza
EGW wrote: Mon Sep 09, 2024 8:50 pm
Spoiler (Show/Hide)
- I was talking about his error confusing Seven v Me being us both scumreading each other. I took that as a null tell, not alignment indicative. Yet it's also odd you weren't clear about that from the beginning.
- My reads clearly changed on you in the day, that you do not state this is disingenuous.
- I wasn't. I was keeping you accountable with your read. I've defended Seven clearly. I was not defending Somi. For example, if I ask you to clarify a stance on someone, it doesn't mean I'm defending them.
- I read the part referencing myself. Just seems odd that you are trying to construct this case on Town me. I mention this because it feels like you are trying to fake a case on me as much as you can.
You not reading the full case means you are missing two-thirds of the context. I'm going to try to be as concise as I can because I don't want the thread to devolve into you/me posting giant walls at each other.

-I deal with your defense of somi and the problem with the "null tell" in my somi section. This is a strong link between you and I have noted numerous instances of you defending him.
-I did mention that your reads this game seem to change erratically, yes. On me specifically, you have spend more of this game thinking I am scum than not though.
EGW wrote: Mon Sep 09, 2024 9:06 pm
Spoiler (Show/Hide)
Theallieza wrote: Mon Sep 09, 2024 8:40 pmmoody7277: This post felt super townie to me. One thing I like about elimination scrambles is generally people don't have time to process their posts quickly and post whatever is top of mind at the time. Moody's interest in solving Madge here is IMHO townie (and, incidentally, EGW's singleminded push for the elimination without regard to consequence felt extremely scummy).
Let's go over that shall we. Do you think it makes sense for scum!me to make such a scramble towards Glue if I don't believe in it? I point this out because it seems odd you'd try to attach scum motivation to my push on Gluelock.
Theallieza wrote: Fri Sep 06, 2024 12:33 am
Seven wrote: Thu Sep 05, 2024 10:03 pm
The language here is ambiguous. What do you mean?
I expect a town flip with >1 wolves in the wagon.
It's also suspicious you say this without really making any sort of push Day 1. You seem to have a lack of scumreads yourself yet you try to force reads on me.
Theallieza wrote: Mon Sep 02, 2024 5:26 pm
EGW wrote: Mon Sep 02, 2024 8:28 am Gluelock and Wam are scum. I think people are latching on to the wrong thing to scumread Somi. I'd rather see his reads and his overall play. I'm neutral on Moody.
I am very suspicious of this. I feel like you are going for the most low-hanging fruit. Doesn't feel like a legit attempt at a solve to me.
Theallieza wrote: Mon Sep 02, 2024 6:52 pm
EGW wrote: Mon Sep 02, 2024 6:04 pm I'm not surprised you would think that, pretty sure you have accused me of doing so before in other games. Low hanging fruit does not mean they cannot be scum. Plus think about the reasoning. Does my reason suck? Does it seem fake? Etc.
Yes, your reasoning for both is terrible and feels very forced. I think getting either player off of null is hard to justify at this stage without a very strong meta tell. The timing that you made this push immediately after I started asking for votes for moody is also interesting.
Let's remember this. You say my reasoning sounds forced, when they aren't. They were pretty short lines of reasoning. You saying this, seems forced. You mention that it was very hard to have them as scum reads without meta, yet you don't ever mention this to Seven, instead you ask him. Why are you treating me different here? Then, you tack on the reasoning that I was trying to counter your weak Moody push. Which was wrong, because I was waiting for Wam to post content, and I posted a half hour after him. Yet, it seemed you were eager to use that as reasoning to tack on against me.
Theallieza wrote: Mon Sep 02, 2024 6:50 pm
Seven wrote: Mon Sep 02, 2024 10:13 am
That's OK. I just wanted to see where you placed moody or if you would vote him. It's quite obvious he is dancer to me, and I believed it should be apparent to a human!ali as well.

@Mak, it is not meta based.

I'm not sure how to take Wam's double placement of EGW and Madge, but I do not believe it is something I will be able to get over.

Vote: Wam
Can you tell me what you think about Wam's town/scum meta? Why is this error alignment indicative one way or the other?
This example here shows you asking Seven about his push on Wam instead of stating that you believe he shouldn't be one without meta. Odd.
Theallieza wrote: Thu Sep 05, 2024 5:19 am
Seven wrote: Wed Sep 04, 2024 9:18 pm
You mean the very thing you called EGW out on in what I quoted above?
I'm not confidently saying I've found the scum team, no. PoE is PoE. If I have 2 scum in my bottom 4 I'll be happy with my sort for toDay.
So this shows you are fine being unfair to my slot when you seemed to be in the same position. I would say that you are trying to force a scumread on me. Also you arrived to a townread on me for trying to sort you, and chose to flip it due to a Gluelock Elim I believed may have flipped scum. Just feels odd that you'd try to use that to re-evaluate me.
-Your EoD push felt very scummy to me. But as I said, it is not the specific reason I believe you are scum. If that were the only thing I had found on you, I probably would have let it go. I'm sorry if you spent the night phase preparing to defend against this point, but yeah, you gave me a bad vibe and that made me take a closer look at your slot. That's all.
-I usually have a good sense of when a wagon is going to have a town flip. This was one of them. Yes, I had a lack of scum reads D1 and I now understand the reason it was so difficult to find them... though I did in fact try to push in a different direction at EoD.
-I discuss the problem with Seven regarding Wam's meta in my case on Seven. Suffice to say, I feel that Seven should have known Wam's meta and should have processed Wam's mistake differently. I had no such expectation for you.

Re: Are we human or are we dancer mafia (day 2)

Posted: Mon Sep 09, 2024 9:46 pm
by Freddino18
Seven: -11
EGW: -17
Bessie: +1 (the exception)
Thea: -1
Wam: -3
Jc: -7
Heury: -13
Madge: -1
Moody: -3

Sorted order: Bessie, Somi (mostly fluff), Thea, Madge, Moody, Wam, JC, Seven, Heury, EGW

btw Heury, you can't lurk, then claim you weren't without setting off alarm bells

Unvote

Vote: EGW


This list only counted negatives, with the sole exception of Bessie due to two posts in particular.