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Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Fri Oct 22, 2021 1:35 am
by Seven
bessie wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 1:26 am
I haven't completely worked it out. I'm only good for one thorough tunnel at a time, and for D3 that was you and jimbobmacdoodle.
I am proposing that if he is cult leader, he recruits this his resurrections. And so if he is cult leader, since he resurrected Suzaku, we will see an increase in the cult count at the start of Day 4. It wouldn't prove he is cult leader, but it would be a significant clue. In the meantime, there is also Wam as a potential cult leader, and whether there is an increase in the cult numbers or not tomorrow, we will not have a clue about his alignment. Therefore, by eliminating Wam, we are increasing our chances of hitting the cult leader because a) if we eliminate him and he is the cult leader, the number will likely be 0 tomorrow and b) if he is not the cult leader, the number will likely be 2 tomorrow (indicating somi). So by eliminating somi, we are essentially wasting the investigative power of the cult count.
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Fri Oct 22, 2021 1:37 am
by bessie
Wam elim isn't happening unless you can get Laser on board. The numbers are against it.
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Fri Oct 22, 2021 1:38 am
by Seven
As an analogy, say you have 7 cards facing down, each a unique digit from 1 to 7. Your task is to guess each card but you can only incorrectly guess 3 times. Additionally, let's say that if you guess any card but the rightmost card, you will then be told whether the rightmost card is even or odd. So what would be your strategy? You would guess any card but the rightmost card first because doing so gives you information that would otherwise be wasted. Somi here is the rightmost card.
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Fri Oct 22, 2021 1:39 am
by Seven
bessie wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 1:37 am
Wam elim isn't happening unless you can get Laser on board. The numbers are against it.
I'm pretty sure Laser is only following you and will switch if you do.
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Fri Oct 22, 2021 1:41 am
by Seven
(He also likely will be online by the deadline.)
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Fri Oct 22, 2021 1:42 am
by bessie
We don't even know if LaserGuy is watching the thread.
I feel more strongly that somitomi is non-town, but will switch if Laser switches.
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Fri Oct 22, 2021 1:52 am
by Seven
Thou hast arrived
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Fri Oct 22, 2021 1:59 am
by Seven
Vote: Seven
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Fri Oct 22, 2021 2:01 am
by bessie
Unvote. From the rules, deadline isn't the clock. It's whenver Madge is on to call it.
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Fri Oct 22, 2021 2:01 am
by Seven
The countdown has passed, but I believe we can still talk and vote if there is no hammer? If we aren't going wam, I do think it's better to just flip me.
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Fri Oct 22, 2021 2:04 am
by bessie
Seven. Unvote. If you are eliminated today, I'm going to tunnel somitomi into oblivion tomorrow, not Wam.
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Fri Oct 22, 2021 2:09 am
by Seven
bessie wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 2:04 am
Seven. Unvote. If you are eliminated today, I'm going to tunnel somitomi into oblivion tomorrow, not Wam.
And if we eliminated somi won't you just tunnel me? My flip will at least hopefully help you see that wam's push was a scum push.
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Fri Oct 22, 2021 2:11 am
by bessie
Seven wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 2:09 am
My flip will at least hopefully help you see that wam's push was a scum push.
I don't do that type of read and you know it.
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Fri Oct 22, 2021 2:13 am
by Seven
What I mean is the game is tainted by the idea that I'm scum. My flip will open the door to new routes.
Unofficial Votals:
Seven (3) - somitomi, Wam, Seven
somitomi (4) – bessie, LaserGuy, moody
Not voting: Suzaku, The Snide Sniper
With 8 players alive, it takes 5 to eliminate.
@Moody
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Fri Oct 22, 2021 2:16 am
by bessie
@moody, it looks like it is up to you.
Interesting.
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Fri Oct 22, 2021 2:16 am
by moody7277
I am sorely tempted to switch and elim you 7en, both because of the flip info and the SK thing. You pulling a Vytron OTOH...
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Fri Oct 22, 2021 2:17 am
by Seven
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Fri Oct 22, 2021 2:17 am
by moody7277
Hell with it. If LaserGuy thinks I'm a weenie for doing it, so be it.
Vote: Seven
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Fri Oct 22, 2021 2:23 am
by bessie
Tomorrow's tunnel is somitomi. If I deviate from this it is because he's the cult leader and he recruited me.
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Fri Oct 22, 2021 2:27 am
by Seven
Sigh
Vote: somitomi
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Fri Oct 22, 2021 2:33 am
by madge
It is Night.
Votals:
Seven (3) - Wam Moody, somitomi
Somitomi (4) - bessie, laserguy, Seven
Not voting: Suzaku, The Snide Sniper
Somi has been eliminated by majority vote.
Dawn is in about 2 days, 6 hours from the time of this post.
Note future day/night cycles will be much shorter.
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Sat Oct 23, 2021 3:26 pm
by madge
Zenni is replacing The Snide Sniper effective immediately.
(the night continues as planned)
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Sun Oct 24, 2021 8:08 am
by madge
The Pizzazz Posse Facebook Group has 169 members.
Somitomi was eliminated by the Town vote yesterday. They may be resurrected, so their role will not be revealed.
Bessie was killed overnight. She may not be resurrected. She was Cryonicist, independent Antisocial Survivor.
The Antisocial Survivor has died and has lost.
It is now dawn on Day 4. Dusk starts in about 3 days.
6 players alive, 4 to eliminate.
There is 1 member currently in the cult.
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap - Day 4
Posted: Sun Oct 24, 2021 8:14 am
by Seven
Thanks wam/moody
Vote: moody
Also Madge I literally bawled at that la Sergei convo
Re: Halloween Mafia 2021 - The Party Trap
Posted: Sun Oct 24, 2021 8:16 am
by LaserGuy
LaserGuy wrote: ↑Thu Sep 30, 2021 7:28 pmbessie: For vague meta reasons, I think this is probably her Town game, but she hasn't actually made a strong impression on me yet. NullTown.
I'm going to count this as correct for my streak reading of bessie based on 1 post
pedit: I was about to double vote moody but I will hold off since moody would be at L-1 already.