Re: Halloween 2024: The Time Travellers' Party [D3]
Posted: Fri Nov 22, 2024 8:41 pm
Why do you think Moody is scum?
If not moody which alot do you think would be scum?
If not moody which alot do you think would be scum?
Press F for the old forum.
https://ramenchef.nfshost.com/nxf/
For their first vote on somi when it was vanity they said they would to JC if needed to selfpres (aka voting there reclutantly with the excuse of selfpressing despite the townread).Theallieza wrote: ↑Fri Nov 22, 2024 6:01 pmI feel like scum!Wam jumping on vanity wagons against his partner and Seven over a legit counter wagon on a town slot is kinda unlikely? I think scum!Wam would have found an excuse to reluctant vote JC.Santygrass wrote: ↑Fri Nov 22, 2024 3:13 pmThis is where they vote for somiWam wrote: ↑Tue Nov 12, 2024 12:35 pm I will self pres vote if needed but of all the POE JC is my top town read.
I'm thinking outside my towncore.and yes paired scum/indies is possible for thea and Fred but think we can solve that later in game and I think it's unlikely.
Town
JC - most town jc has ever looked I find it weird that's who thea has gone for
Moody - think thier reactions to the claim stuff show a desire to solve.
Mak - feels Town but within scum range
Bessie - see previous post
Santy - I think they are lying about having a vig shot to give them cover being caught shooting someone later. See previous post about how they didn't flag back to adum with a vig shot its not mathematically optimal to no elim.
Somi - interactions with claim are weird.
Scum
Vote somi
And this later when they have to self pres and switch to jc
Here they go back to somi (kinda still is self pressing because they never stopped being lead wagon)
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Something unbiased please look at this and tell me if this read feels genuine or is maybe just an excuse to unvote / try to make something else happen. Could see this happening in w/w wagons :curtain:
HmmmmmmmmTheallieza wrote: ↑Fri Nov 22, 2024 8:51 pm Wam is actually usually power wolf or lazy Town and basically nothing in between.
Theallieza wrote: ↑Tue Nov 19, 2024 9:08 pm I think Wam is probably a great information yeet. My gut is that he is a miss but I'd be willing to go there over other choices.
This is a really strange progression of thoughts, from being a good informational yeet with a gutread that it's wrong to thinking Wam has just been townie.Theallieza wrote: ↑Fri Nov 22, 2024 5:42 pmI don't get it either. Somi and Wam are very unlikely scum together (and Wam honestly has been kinda townie anyway? Like I don't even get the case on him).
But I'm suspicious of both Adum and Santy anyway so I'm skeptical of their preferred yeet.
Santygrass wrote: ↑Fri Nov 22, 2024 8:41 pm Why do you think Moody is scum?
If not moody which alot do you think would be scum?
Bessie>santy>Mak it that order for other scum.Wam wrote: ↑Wed Nov 20, 2024 3:30 pmSo above is all the times moody mentioned somi. Feels about the same as he's mentioned most other people. But moody has been very uncomittal about somi and alignment the whole way through.Spoiler (Show/Hide)
Only one of these moody didn't put in a spoiler tag...moody7277 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 10, 2024 6:17 pm somi
D1
post 1: early game stuff and asks Santy about multiball
post 2: concurs with wording of town wincon, asks Thea about her self-restriction
post 3: response to Seven's flavor/setup spec
post 4: response about Fred's pfp, based on previous indication it is significant
post 5: Thea's method makes interpretation difficult
post 6: disagrees with Bessie about changing pfp, defers to wam about answer to worst's fearing Bessie
post 7: response to Santy's discussion of analyzing Fred's pfp
post 8: poking worst about fear of Bessie
post 9: Thea could be hiding behind restriction, votes Fred, repeats question to worst about Bessie
post 10: RL stuff
post 11: switches vote to worst
post 12: answers Mak about voting worst
post 13: answer to JC about reasoning on Fred's pfp
post 14: votals, reply to worst saying it was a joke
Took a few posts to get going, most direct interaction was with worst re fear of Bessie.
D2
post 15: no claim or chat
post 16: surprised Bessie has so many FoSes, asks Seven about not including (at the time) implicated Adum
post 17: RL stuff
post 18: Thea channeling BF, roll with it, on board with result on Adum, likes reply from Seven about result, town reads Mak
Still not seeing much deep probing, but that may be a style thing. Final grade +0.5
moody7277 wrote: ↑Tue Nov 12, 2024 9:57 pmwam I had as slightly scummy due to his thinking the beef between bessie and Seven end of D1 was TvS and scumreading bessie due to it. Their fights have become so classic, they're NAI at this point, and I think wam was trying to get rid of an influential player. Also thinking his questioning activity early on might have been demonstrative as per someone's theory about it.Theallieza wrote: ↑Tue Nov 12, 2024 9:46 pm @moody, since you are here, why do you prefer Wam over somi?
somi's been more neutral to me, nothing particular sticks out as scummy enough to prefer him over wam or definitely Mak, or even JC really.These are the only mention or interactions with moody, somi made all game or at least the only ones i found. This strikes me as a suspiciously low amount of interaction especially compared to moodys the other way and how somi has interacted with everyone else.Spoiler (Show/Hide)
somitomi wrote: ↑Sun Nov 10, 2024 9:19 pmBecause I didn't want to be the idiot who accidentally quickhammers before everyone had a chance to chime in.When it comes to Seven I can't entirely silence the suspicious bastard in me wondering if he did this for the everlasting town-cred.Why not vote moody then?
A glimpse into the enigmaticidiotic workings of the somi mind follows, please keep your hands inside the vehicle.
town core in no particular order
- Adum, Mak (tone as discussed already)
- Fred, Thea (I'd probably scumread Fred in isolation, but I don't think there's a way mafia!Thea would do something as audacious and risky as claiming masons D1)
high-probability town
- Seven (clearing Adum)
scares me
- Santy (super open posting that's hella townie to me, but from what I recall they did just about the same as my replacement, so I have all the paranoia)
PoE
- JC
- moody
- wam
- bessie
Yeah, look at me calling all these kettles black, but the PoE group didn't leave much of an impression on me so the differences are rather marginal. JC feels a little more townish than the rest but I can't justify this vague impression. I'll go back to reread these people a bit, but for the moment it seems like picking any would likely hit scum and we're one NK ahead so the order isn't critical.
...
Yes, I hear the little alarm bell saying some kind of nuke will go off N2 to completely turn me on my head.
vote moody
I think your right for the wrong reasons again. I think as per above moody and somi are paired.Seven wrote: ↑Wed Nov 20, 2024 2:05 pm Adum is a bulletproof* godfather. He and moody are on one team. Wam and somi are on the other. He’s possibly lying about the bulletproof and there simply wasn’t a kill N1. This explains why Wam was simultaneously watching the “kill” target. It’s possible Santy is in this somewhere since he has pretty much hard core been defending scum all game. No offense if you’re town Santy, but it’s been rather extreme at this point.
Adum, the reason why Thea and I are trying to figure out the different ways you can be scum isn’t that we are in lala theorycrafting land, it’s that you’re really just quite suspicious, and it doesn’t line up with the “town” result. I’ll case in full all the things I find suspicious later.
Ps this was written in stages so usual grammar error apologies.
I figured that's what you meant lol
I think yeeting Wam potentially gives info about a bunch of people, but on okay, especially this phase, I think he is 70-80% town. Don't see what's so strange about itAdumbroDeus wrote: ↑Fri Nov 22, 2024 8:59 pm Huh
Snipped for relevance:
Theallieza wrote: ↑Tue Nov 19, 2024 9:08 pm I think Wam is probably a great information yeet. My gut is that he is a miss but I'd be willing to go there over other choices.This is a really strange progression of thoughts, from being a good informational yeet with a gutread that it's wrong to thinking Wam has just been townie.Theallieza wrote: ↑Fri Nov 22, 2024 5:42 pmI don't get it either. Somi and Wam are very unlikely scum together (and Wam honestly has been kinda townie anyway? Like I don't even get the case on him).
But I'm suspicious of both Adum and Santy anyway so I'm skeptical of their preferred yeet.
Thea, please explain this thought progression.
What about his play is town? I think you're putting too much stock into the fact that he Watched Adum, and think you should ignore it.
Theallieza wrote: ↑Fri Nov 22, 2024 10:33 pm"Gut read" is soft support for his townieness, and you were actively supporting the yeet at the time.AdumbroDeus wrote: ↑Fri Nov 22, 2024 8:59 pm I think yeeting Wam potentially gives info about a bunch of people, but on okay, especially this phase, I think he is 70-80% town. Don't see what's so strange about it
And then, after Seven joined and planned to push people towards the yeet, you actively disapprove of it, say it's from play, and take issue in part because the yeet you supported for information is preferred by two people you're suspicious of, people you'd presumably want information on, and people who already preferred a Wam yeet before you made the comment.
Now you're back to saying it's a good informational yeet.
unvote
Hey Seven, did you happen to read Bingo mafia back in the day?Seven wrote: ↑Fri Nov 22, 2024 11:52 pmWhat about his play is town? I think you're putting too much stock into the fact that he Watched Adum, and think you should ignore it.
-The wagon vibe at the end of D2 is suggestive of W/W wagons. Somi wasn't fighting that hard against it, suggesting that his counterwagon (Wam) was probably on a partner.
-Wam tried to move to me at the end of the day based on weird reasoning.
-His reason for scum reading bessie is very wolfy. Town!bessie would not claim right away. He's maintained his reasoning even after this has been addressed.
-He slipped that he knew this was correct.
He's playing in his scum meta. Read his scum meta here: https://ramenchef.net/nxf/viewtopic.php ... &start=827
"Gut read" is soft support for his townieness, and you were actively supporting the yeet at the time.Theallieza wrote: ↑Fri Nov 22, 2024 10:33 pm I think yeeting Wam potentially gives info about a bunch of people, but on okay, especially this phase, I think he is 70-80% town. Don't see what's so strange about it