This is actually a great post. I think you and I are actually pretty similar, which is probably why we're at each other's throats. I was literally doing the I'm So Obv Town thing you're doing with Morgan with someone in Osie's last game. My only concern with this is that you seem to be treating The Worst from the point of view of there being one mafia, and I can't help but ponder the idea of it being a perspective slip. There's no reason from town!your perspective that the TvS and TvT probability should be all that different. The Worst's ability not being a targeting ability says nothing about his alignment. At least so long as there is at least one other mafia member alive. We don't know who did the kill, so while yes you RBing him reduces the chance he is scum by a small amount, it doesn't exclude him from being scum.MathBlade wrote: ↑Sun Nov 28, 2021 4:56 pmAbout me being “easy” that’s been the mindset. The only case was “I wasn’t here”. I was working. Initial suggestions are very difficult to overcome so poisoning the well is bad. My defense should be clear and I shouldn’t need one.
Take me and the worst for example: one of four alignments
SvS >> While this is possible to an outsider’s perspective, me claiming to have blocked the worst then one of the worst and myself not dying is suspicious. This is not a good strategic play if I or the worst are scum as we open ourselves to lots of ways things go wrong.
SvT >> Again this is possible to an outsider’s perspective but then why do I as scum true claim when I could just sheep Seven and take the elim on Wisp. The worst confirmed he was blocked and him being town means he was blocked so that means true claim.
TvS >> Possible that the worst is a strongman here and killed Wisp or just scum who got blocked but considering how Seven recanted their “implied” claim (benefit of the doubt) means that they know at least one of us is truthtelling and so continuing on is dumb, and that’s looking at Seven in the best light possible.
TvT >> This is clearly the most likely answer as the others require a lot of weird stretching and flexing to make work. I may be an idiot but I am more than likely a town idiot which makes me hella sus of Morgan because he knows better.
Now take that and add Seven onto the mix:
Seven claimed the worst visited Wisp. I blocked the worst. These are in direct conflict barring a strongman action. Given the worst said their action failed, there’s three options (pre Seven recant)
>> Seven is truthtelling about worst visiting Wisp, which means worst is lying about being blocked. (This necessitates me town, see SvS argument earlier)
>> Seven is lying about the worst visiting Wisp, worst is telling the truth about being blocked and I am telling the truth about blocking him. Now again you can argue that a buddy blocked Seven which is still logically possible but not at all likely because if I was ever rolecopped the gig would be up. So it’s more likely that I am truth claiming there.
In summary, all we know is that the worst did not do the kill. And being blocked, he would have known I was lying regardless of his alignment. He would have known I was lying in any scenario that he didn't target wisp.
